How To Use Normal (Non-trending) Trading Strategies

Oct 29th, 2008 | By admin | Category: Forex trading: A primer

In the foreign exchange market, it is no doubt that fortunes can be made from trends. However, it is not always the case when the market cooperates. The trader must be able to develop solid techniques for times when the market is not trending. Doing so can be done around specific tendencies that are most common to the currency market.

The Key Indicator

In forex trading, there are several indicators that people use, including the RSI or relative strength index, the exponential moving averages of EMAs, and the Bollinger bands. However, there is another indicator that stands above the rest, which is the price. It has always been the ultimate indicator, compared to other mentioned indicators who are merely equations of formulas that are applied to the price.

A good example is the moving average because it encompasses the average price of the trading vehicle over a selected period of time. The RSI or stochastic oscillators are used to measure the difference between the current price and the recent prices in order to determine if the pair is overbought or oversold.

Technically, the forex market does not have a price per se and instead, there is an exchange rate. The rate allows the traders to compare two currencies in one equation. Thus, the price is only another term for exchange rate in currency trading.

There are two elements correlated with the price: the support and the resistance. The support happens when the buyer continuously steps in at a particular price. On the other hand, when the seller repeatedly steps in at a specific price, this is known as the resistance. The support and resistance can be metaphorically referred to as the floor and the ceiling, respectively. If the price can bounce from the support, it can also fall from the resistance.

The Intraday Breakouts

When the trader is participating in any kind of trading, like the intraday breakouts, it is important for him or her to remember to use every type of advantage possible. Traders normally search for situations wherein the odds are in their favor, and then take the necessary course of action.

There are several instances of false breakouts in all types of trading, regardless of the trading vehicle. The false breakout only occurs when the price appears to break below support or above resistance, only to rise back above support or fall back below resistance.

There are negative effects of false breakouts and in order to reduce them, and improve the chances of success, it is important to apply intraday breakouts.

The Triangles

Triangles, in trading, can either be ascending or descending. They can create great intraday breakout opportunities, due to their pattern, which creates a directional partiality for the currency pair. Firstly, the ascending triangle is formed by the combination of diagonal support and horizontal resistance. On the other hand, the descending triangle is formed through the combination of the diagonal resistance and the horizontal support.

The Trend Filter

Traders can increase their edge and take it to the next level. More so, traders can also gain a further edge by checking the direction of the currency pair preceding the information of the triangle pattern, when trading ascending or descending triangles. This is for the reason that it is not abnormal for a currency pair to trend in one direction, then consolidates and then resume trending in the same direction. The pair trending in the same direction prior to the formation of the triangle pattern can only cause the trade to become all the more compelling.

In trading, when you notice that the pair has been trending steadily heavier, it is important to use the power of this trend to your own advantage. You must do this in order to reduce false breakouts from happening and enhance your chances of success. Through filtering the breakout trades, you are again integrating the trend into your techniques.

Remember that the general rule for the trade is always to trade with the trend and never fight it. Traders who fight against the trends often get disappointed with their actions.

The Time-Of-Day Filter

The time of day is anther edge that traders can utilize when trading intraday breakouts. In trading, there is a saying stating that a breakout is believed to be significant if it happens on high volume, and is considered less dependable if it happens on low volume.

Within a high-volume environment, the move is deemed real since the players are placing significant amounts of capital work. On the other hand, order that normally would not have a significant impact on the exchange rates but have the ability to move markets are included within a low-volume environment.

If the trader applies buying or selling pressure at the right moment, the institutional traders can cause pools of orders to be implemented, thus generating commissions. However, this is easier to accomplish when the volume is light and the move tends to be succinct.

While traders do not have the capacity to easily access precise volume figures, the trading is not equally liquid at all time of the day. Additionally, there are certainly times of the day when large volumes are generated.

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